Oscar Predictions

Last updated: 16/02/2021

Best Picture

1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
(Netflix / dir. Aaron Sorkin)

2. Nomadland
(Searchlight / dir. Chloé Zhao)

3. Mank
(Netflix / dir. David Fincher)

4. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
(Netflix / dir. George C. Wolfe)

5. Minari
(A24 / dir. Lee Isaac Chung)

6. Da 5 Bloods
(Netflix / dir. Spike Lee)

7. One Night in Miami
(Amazon / dir. Regina King)

8. Promising Young Woman
(Focus / dir. Emerald Fennell)

9. The Father
(Sony Classics / dir. Florian Zeller)

10. Sound of Metal
(Amazon / dir. Darius Marder)

Other possibilities:
Judas and the Black Messiah
News of the World
Soul

Best Director

1. Chloé Zhao
(Nomadland)
Past: 0/0

2. David Fincher
(Mank)
Past: 0/2

3. Regina King
(One Night in Miami)
Past: 1/1

4. Aaron Sorkin
(The Trial of the Chicago 7)
Past: 1/3

5. Spike Lee
(Da 5 Bloods)
Past: 2/5

Other possibilities:
Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman)
Lee Isaac Chung (Minari)
Paul Greengrass (News of the World)

Best Actress

1. Carey Mulligan
(Promising Young Woman)
Past: 0/1

2. Viola Davis
(Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
Past: 1/3

3. Frances McDormand
(Nomadland)
Past: 2/5

4. Vanessa Kirby
(Pieces of a Woman)
Past: 0/0

5. Zendaya
(Malcolm & Marie)
Past: 0/0

Other possibilities:
Sophia Loren (Life Ahead)
Andra Day (The United States vs Billie Holiday)
Sidney Flanigan (Never Rarely Sometimes Always)

Best Actor

1. Chadwick Boseman
(Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
Past: 0/0

2. Anthony Hopkins
(The Father)
Past: 1/5

3. Riz Ahmed
(Sound of Metal)
Past: 0/0

4. Delroy Lindo
(Da 5 Bloods)
Past: 0/0

5. Gary Oldman
(Mank)
Past: 1/2

Other possibilities:
Steven Yeun (Minari)
Ben Affleck (The Way Back)
Tom Hanks (News of the World)

Best Supporting Actress

1. Glenn Close
(Hillbilly Elegy)
Past: 0/7

2. Olivia Colman
(The Father)
Past: 1/1

3. Ellen Burstyn
(Pieces of a Woman)
Past: 1/6

4. Amanda Seyfried
(Mank)
Past: 0/0

5. Maria Bakalova
(Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)
Past: 0/0

Other possibilities:
Youn Yu-jung (Minari)
Helena Zengel (News of the World)
Jodie Foster (The Mauritanian)

Best Supporting Actor

1. Leslie Odom Jr.
(One Night in Miami)
Past: 0/0

2. Sacha Baron Cohen
(The Trial of the Chicago 7)
Past: 0/1

3. Daniel Kaluuya
(Judas and the Black Messiah)
Past: 0/1

4. Chadwick Boseman
(Da 5 Bloods)
Past: 0/0

5. Paul Raci
(Sound of Metal)
Past: 0/0

Other possibilities:
Bill Murray (On the Rocks)
Mark Rylance (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
David Strathairn (Nomadland)

Best Original Screenplay

1. Promising Young Woman
(by Emerald Fennell)
Past: 0/0

2. The Trial of the Chicago 7
(by Aaron Sorkin)
Past: 1/3

3. Mank
(by Jack Fincher)
Past: 0/0

4. Minari
(by Lee Isaac Chung)
Past: 0/0

5. Judas and the Black Messiah
(by Will Berson & Shaka King)
Past: 0/0 & 0/0

Other possibilities:
Sound of Metal
Never Rarely Sometimes Always
Soul

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. One Night in Miami
(by Kemp Powers)
Past: 0/0

2. Nomadland
(by Chloé Zhao)
Past: 0/0

3. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
(by Ruben Santiago-Hudson)
Past: 0/0

4. The Father
(by Christopher Hampton
& Florian Zeller)
Past: 1/2 & 0/0

5. News of the World
(by Paul Greengrass & Luke Davies)
Past: 0/1 & 0/1

Other possibilities:
I’m Thinking of Ending Things
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
First Cow

Best Animated Feature

1. Soul
(Pixar)

2. WolfWalkers
(Apple)

3. Onward
(Pixar)

4. A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon
(Netflix)

5. Bombay Rose
(Netflix)

Other possibilities:
Over the Moon
Earwig and the Witch
The Willoughbys

Best Documentary Feature

1. Crip Camp
(Netflix)

2. Collective
(Magnolia)

3. Boys State
(Apple)

4. Dick Johnson Is Dead
(Netflix)

5. The Truffle Hunters
(Sony Classics)

Other possibilities:
Welcome to Chechnya
Time
MLK/FBI

Best International Feature

1. Another Round
(Denmark 🇩🇰)
Past: 3/12

2. Night of the Kings
(Côte d’Ivoire 🇨🇮)
Past: 1/1

3. Collective
(Romania 🇷🇴)
Past: 0/0

4. Two of Us
(France 🇫🇷)
Past: 9/39

5. La Llorona
(Guatemala 🇬🇹)
Past: 0/0

Other possibilities:
I’m No Longer Here (Mexico 🇲🇽)
Dear Comrades! (Russia
🇷🇺)
Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina
🇧🇦)

Best Film Editing

1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
(by Alan Baumgarten)
Past: 0/1

2. Mank
(by Kirk Baxter)
Past: 2/3

3. The Father
(by Yorgos Lamprinos)
Past: 0/0

4. News of the World
(by William Goldenberg)
Past: 1/5

5. Nomadland
(by Chloé Zhao)
Past: 0/0

Other possibilities:
Da 5 Bloods
Tenet
One Night in Miami

Best Cinematography

1. Nomadland
(by Joshua James Richards)
Past: 0/0

2. Mank
(by Erik Messerschmidt)
Past: 0/0

3. Tenet
(by Hoyte Van Hoytema)
Past: 0/1

4. News of the World
(by Dariusz Wolski)
Past: 0/0

5. Judas and the Black Messiah
(by Sean Bobbitt)
Past: 0/0

Other possibilities:
I’m Thinking of Ending Things
Da 5 Bloods
The Midnight Sky

Best Original Score

1. Soul
(by Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross)
Past: 1/1

2. News of the World
(by James Newton Howard)
Past: 0/8

3. The Midnight Sky
(by Alexandre Desplat)
Past: 2/11

4. Tenet
(by Ludwig Göransson)
Past: 1/1

5. Mank
(by Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross)
Past: 1/1 & 1/1

Other possibilities:
The Little Things
Minari
Da 5 Bloods

Best Production Design

1. Mank

2. News of the World

3. Tenet

4. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

5. Emma.

Other possibilities:
The Midnight Sky
Mulan
The Trial of the Chicago 7

Best Costume Design

1. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

2. Emma.

3. Mank

4. Mulan

5. The Personal History of David Copperfield

Other possibilities:
News of the World
Ammonite
The United
States vs. Billie Holiday

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

2. Birds of Prey

3. Hillbilly Elegy

4. Mank

5. Pinocchio

Other possibilities:
Emma.
One Night in Miami
The Little Things

Best Visual Effects

1. Tenet

2. The Midnight Sky

3. Mank

4. Mulan

5. The One and Only Ivan

Other possibilities:
Birds of Prey
Soul
Welcome to Chechnya

Best Sound

1. Tenet

2. Sound of Metal

3. Soul

4. Mank

5. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Other possibilities:
The Midnight Sky
News of the World
The Trial of the Chicago 7

Best Original Song

1. “Speak Now”
(from One Night in Miami)

2. “Io sì (Seen)”
(from The Life Ahead)

3. “Hear My Voice”
(from The Trial of the Chicago 7)

4. “Fight for You”
(from Judas and the Black Messiah)

5. “Free”
(from The One and Only Ivan)

Other possibilities:
“Rain Song” (from Minari)
“Wuhan Flu” (from Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)
“Husavik” (from Eurovision: The Story of Fire Saga)